The Smolensk plane crash tragedy in which the top brass of Poland’s politics died has raised serious theories, about who is to be blamed for it.
Media, conspiracy theorists and bloggers are first to jump the story telling band wagon. What requires here is not just an ability to quickly relay a story, just to create hype or to sell publication. Someone should have in-depth political, historical knowledge and physical presence in Poland. So let’s forget about someone just writing an article from one corner of the world, or by researching the internet & news.
There are many theories arising from speculations in & around the Poland’s political scene and Poland-Russia relationship of last several decades. However, a person without in-depth knowledge and studies of both is just trying to cover the article for attention or TRP. Before we go to the detailed report on research, speculations and assumptions about this tragedy, let’s look at what led this tragic event in a nutshell.
THEORY 01 – Russian behind the crash, as the whole polish delegation in the plane is enemy number one for the Russian, who are trying to blame today’s Russia for Katyn massacre and push for a compensation & apology.
THEORY 02 – United States to be blamed, as they are from time to time creating a regional conflicts for Russia with her neighbors’, to weaken her & to stop Russian might in EU.
THEORY 03 – Russia and the USA to blame, as their signature few days ago was a part of a bigger agreement to include cancelling the missile defense system and get rid of anyone who is pushing for it and putting the superpowers at a collision course, also to mention the polish president wanted a compensation from the USA, if they had to withdraw from the missile plans, and leave Poland only with troubles with the Russians.
THEORY 04 – The unlikely truth – NO ONE TO BLAME!!!
Many consider that the air crash was merely due to human error as the pilot declined the instructions given by the ATC, that not to land due to bad weather conditions. Some even went on to say that it was a serious mistake by the Polish President to order the pilot to land the aircraft; a similar forced landing was done few months back in Mongolia by the same President. Alarmingly some eye witnesses say that there was no fog at all and the weather conditions weren’t bad. Contradictions like these raise more doubts about this tragedy.
But why didn’t Poland buy a brand new aircraft from Germany or France, I am sure the Polish government can afford it and not risk lives of their President with a 20-year-old problematic flight. Didn’t the engineers pass this aircraft and approve for flying, yes., so why does media go on to term this as a “dodgy aircraft”, did they get proof from the black box? Or has it been declared at the crash site that this was a dodgy aircraft??
If we consider what happened was just due to malfunction and human error, then the whole argument ends and it just concludes as an accident. Perhaps, with the Russians the Polish have always had their one eye full of doubt. Russia has been systematically killing its own people who revolt against the government, even opposing politicians, businessmen, journalists, writers & reformists are killed till date in Russia…in an accident. Case close….you see it’s very easy with the Russian government to do that. So why can’t the same strategy be not been used to arrange the Smolensk air crash. Stalin’s government was able to hide the Katyn massacre for many decades and blame it on Germans; if the site was not located then no one would have come to know about the Katyn massacre. Today Russia doesn’t have any opposition and also there is no international investigation on the incident. More over Mr. Putin himself is heading the investigation, why aren’t the Poles invited in joint investigation, if this was just an accident. This just shows that it’s not only an accident but there is a larger conspiracy or truth involved.
The Polish President and the entire top officials dead in the crash were anti-Russian; wiping them off in one incident just makes the way for Russia clearer once again in Poland. The resources and strategic placement of Poland in central Europe makes it very important in terms of Political & geographical. Having a pro-Russian government in Poland makes Russia stronger in Europe, although Russia doesn’t require adding something to their military might but having a nation like Poland under their belt adds to the decisions making strength in Europe. Last few months President Lech Kaczynski has been even opposing the EU dictatorship for the benefit of entire Europe, I guess he was already on a suicidal path. This is not the first time that Poland’s patriots have been killed in an accident whenever they tried to react against the Russians, every time earlier a top anti-Russian official dying in an accident has led to several understandings thereof.
When Georgia invaded Russia on 8/8/2008 many of the weapons used to kill Russians had been delivered by Poland. After the Georgian surprise invasion and attack against Russia the Russian president Medvedev said that the Russian authorities “know” who dispatched arms and why to Tbilisi in advance of the conflict and who has been sending arms there since in order to rebuilt Georgia’s military establishment.” We will not forget [such actions] and will naturally consider [them] in the course of our practical policy,” the Russian president said, underscoring that he “would like that everyone keep this in mind.” The Russian government has accused Warsaw of “illegal arms” sales to Georgia. Ever since Lech Kaczynski has been on Russian radar, this doesn’t rule out a probable long-term plan in process that one day will act against Kaczynski and one can’t rule out a possible support from the Polish officials also who opposed Kaczynski’s policies. Now since the top brass all dead, it doesn’t matter if it’s a conspiracy or accident, it clearly benefits Russia.
Russia is going slowly and swiftly first with Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, Ukraine and now Poland. It’s very evident that Putin is trying to get back the fallen pieces of the old Soviet Union together. Although Poland has become of the best growing economies in last five years, what it lacks is the best political leadership which makes proper decisions and acts on its own without getting influenced by West or East. A stupid leadership is likely to thrust bad luck upon a nation and Polish people have to realize this, wake up and not let their nation fall again for the fourth time in history.