Iran Dominance in Middle East from 2010

War games showing dangers of Iran attacks is a highly debatable news article published by Tribune news service on February 22, 2010. The current situation in Middle East is the next maneuver in waiting, by the insurgents. Whenever during a war when there is a sudden calm then it’s quite evident that the opposition is gathering forces, regrouping or planning the next big move. However, it would require the enemy to launch a scattered terrorist attacks on the US forces in Middle East or an attack on US soil. Considering the hostility of Saudi Arabia and the other Sunni states against Iran, it serves only to the best interests of US President Obama to look towards Middle East with a different perspective which can get an amicable solution and not war. What is it that makes US so hostile with the Middle Eastern states? What is it that would solve the current armed animosity in the Middle East? What is it that would also protect and serve best in the interests of the US citizens? Is it Israel – Palestine issue? Is it moving out US forces from Iraq & Afghanistan?

There are many more questions that can be asked by some better political & military experts, but such questions only raise doubts in the minds of the business tycoons who have spent millions of dollars to nominate and elect their adoring presidential candidates. Common people in Middle East or in US do not want war & bloodshed, just because of somebody else’s political agenda. Manipulating the hearts of their citizens by threats, religious views, patriotism and fear is only the tool of the politicians to fulfill their own plans at the risk of men willing to die for their country.

Iran would go ahead and meet their nuclear goals at any cost without paying any heed to the UN or the western pressure. They are in no mood of listening as they know once they have the nuclear capabilities’, it’s a different ball game. On the other hand Israel cannot allow Iran to go nuke as they are aware that once Iran goes nuke the next direct threat will always be from Iran. Then there won’t be a proxy war by Iran through Lebanon – Hezbollah. Many news papers and military analysts predict that Israel will attack Iran in 2010 or vice versa. I don’t know why these military experts & analysts create a scenario to add fuel to the fire, we all know about the hostility between Iran-Israel-USA. So now what? These analysts want to predict some nonsense rather than provide possible solutions for these current crises.

Over Hyped Iran by media

Iran is too much hyped by the media and also by the “Left Think Tank”.The Center Left includes the Rockefeller, Republicans, Carter, Clinton, Obama and many billionaires. These people have been misleading the entire American population and only behind the world dominance. Any simulation about the war games as published in Tribune news service are most of the time wrong. It only misleads the people and creates a big hype around the world. Lets forget the Left-Think-Tank, Brookings Institution & Harvard Research Simulation.

Consider Irans current military strength its quite obvious that Iran is not a military superpower as compared to the USA’s world class military power. Iran can maximum flex its muscles in the Persian gulf and will continue to do so for the next 1000 years. One the other hand Israel has more than 250 nukes and supreme US military hardware.  Israel is small but powerful in terms of military strength. Israel wants total Dominance in the Middle East, for as far as the eye can see. They plan to get their way by having the US Military attack Iran.

Its already happened with Iraq. Saddam was on Israel’s “must go” list.
After 9-11-2001, the American people were angry as hell. The Stock Market Crash destroyed their IRAs and the 9-11 attacks destroyed the Twin Towers, killing thousands of Americans. It was easy to channel their anger into a war with Iraq. Bush, controlled by the Israeli Lobby, Marched America to War.

China, Russia & North Korea are the most important military suppliers of Iran. But now since China has pumped Billions of dollars in US, it won’t support Iran incase if there is a first strike by Iran, Israel or US. There are possibilities that Hugo Chavez or North Korean Kim could be like a friend from far supporting Iran during the war. China & Russia will not support Iran in protracted war in Middle East. US already has adequate ground bases and supply lines in middle east, unlike the Iranians. Iran doesn’t have the same heavy cargo lifting, shipping or troop transport capacity like US and since US controls all the local oil except for Iran’s keeping their planes and ships fueled day in and day out gets problematic. China and Russia’s best offense/defense is just letting USA bankrupt themselves completely financially and morally in the endeavors in the Middle East which they are in fact well on their way to doing.

Iran though will be fighting for it’s sovereignty and based on their protracted decade long war with Iraq in the eighties its safe to assume that they will actually fight quite long and hard.

What are their real capabilities? Their ground to ground missile system, can they hit targets? Will they use Bio-chemical weapons? Will they bomb the nearby peaceful Arab neighbors? Will they block the Strait of Hormuz and mine it?

During the Soviet invasion of Afghan, the Russians faced their greatest military debacle on ground fighting. US is more subtle and careful sending ground troops after Vietnam war. US would strategically use all its Air supremacy and go for precision. Iranian army will have very less to do just like the Saddams army during the gulf war against the allies. Therefore, even Iran understands that they won’t stand a chance against the US forces if there is a war. Iran will only try to build a defense against the US & the Israel. Apparently Iran also fears its Arab neighbors who conniving on the Iranian regimes downfall. Given the background of history, Little the Iranians have in trust with US and its neighbors. Since Iran is surrounded by hostile governments, they presume that the best interest for them is to go nuclear. That will also stabilize the balance of power in Asia. Although Iran will always be dependant on Chinese, Russians & North Koreans for the hardware and the possibilities of Iran getting stronger than the later is unrealistic. Iran also has additional fears that after going nuke they need to retain their governments power and control over the reactors. That’s the reason Iran will not engage in terrorism activities like the Pakistanis. The moment terror schools are inbred the influence of governments power over its people becomes dim.

US doesn’t want to strike first

 

Today, hard Economic times are back. 10% of the American People are out of work. The Wall Street Gangsters have destroyed the  Economy. Big Business has shipped millions of good American jobs to Red China and poor  India. The stage is set for another War. Hard Economic Times and a nasty looking Iranian Leader is he helping  to lay the ground work. The American People are ready to be “Channeled” again. Only One Problem and it’s a big One! The Israeli Lobby doesn’t have total control of Pres. Obama, YET. Congress is primed and ready, having been under the thumb of the Powerful Israeli Lobby for years.

What’s Next? – Either Pres. Obama has to be pushed into a War with Iran OR look for a “Gulf of Tonkin” type attack to light the fuze.

An attack on Iran by Israel is possible but unlikely. The Israelis would much rather have the US Military do their dirty work. This will be more important after Iran gets their S-300 Air Defense System up and running.

There are few HOLD BACKS to Wars now days. Today’s Wars are paid for by “credit card”, meaning American Children and Grandchildren will get the BILLS. Red China is Lending us Huge Sums of $$$$$ BUT this $$$$$ must be Re-Paid.
Remember, Bush gave Rich Americans Huge Tax Breaks in War Time. The first time in US History, where Huge Tax Breaks came in a War.

Unlike Vietnam, there is NO DRAFT, so the Son’s of the Rich and Super Rich can stay at home and watch on TV. Trust Me, if there where a DRAFT now, no American President would rush this Country to War, in order to please a Foreign Lobby. Every College Campus in this Country would need riot police.

Although the wars in Iraq & Afghanistan seem to come to an end, it doesn’t mean that US wants o breed one more under its sleeve. Are the American people ready for one more war, which will lay more economic stress on its country. During Iraq war there was a huge allied build up, will this time the same allied forces aid US in its world peace programme. Perhaps, Obama will have to create a similar situation like George W Bush or fabricate a terror attack on its own soil and also many other allied soils.

So many expert speculations these days about Israel striking first on Iran or Iran preparing its nukes towards Israel. The speculations have not provoked either, Iran or Israel. In the background the US is mere spectator on the expert opinions coming up each day. So its only who strikes first scenario and all three parties understanding the impact and worst result due to first strike.

So what does Iran want?

I wonder Iran has learned from Saddams mistakes pre & during the gulf war. So the chances of Iran repeating the same stupidity are out of the question, unless Iran is on self destruction path. Iran also understands that all the hype created by experts and media is only helping them gain regional stronghold protecting themselves from Arab enemies and the GCC states of overthrowing Iranian government. Iran wants to play delaying tactics and buys time, so that in due course they eventually complete their nukes. What use they will apply their nukes will only be discovered when time comes. The Iranians for the moment just want to build a stonewall against their enemies. Subsequently once nukes are achieved the Iranians can continue stronger threats against the rest of the world. What’s more important for the Iranian government is not to allow the opposition factions to come in power or allow the west to bring the opposition to power. Iran considers that the case with them is not like how it was in Saddam’s Iraq. Iranians assume that west will not annihilate Iran but only overthrow the current regime and get more friendly pro-western opposition government.

However, once Iran goes nuke , the US, Israel & rest of the allied nations will naturally feel the threat from Iran and will gather thereafter around supporting US to reason with Iran. But once Iran has nuclear power no civilian diplomacy will work and what Iran does after that it beyond any comprehension. The only conclusion is to stop Iran from going nuclear.

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